Here’s How Donald Trump Can Win the Presidency


Are there enough angry voters to propel Mr Trump to the presidency? The simple answer is yes. Even before it was revealed that Hillary Clinton, his Democratic rival, is suffering from pneumonia, the race had tightened. Mr Trump has closed the 8 point post-convention gap between him and his opponent and is three points behind her nationally.

He has pulled level in Florida, the largest of the vital swing states. Several other states that were trending towards Mrs Clinton, such as Ohio, have moved back into the “too close to call” category.

Yet if the race continues on its current course, Mr Trump will still lose because Mrs Clinton is ahead or tied in every state that went for President Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012. Nevertheless, her negatives continue to rise. She is regarded unfavourably by about 55 per cent of the electorate. No Democratic nominee in modern history has ever had an unfavourability rating that high.

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Photo via Michael Vadon


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I think we are all hoping that somehow Donald Trump can end up the winner so we do not get stuck with Hillary as our President.
Having said that (and meaning it sincerely) there are reasons that Frank Luntz is laughed at by vast majority of pollsters and political consultants. This article by Luntz (which is at a link that is behind a pay-wall, by the way — not sure how many other FO readers know how to get beyond the paywall) is basically a fluff piece without any substance other than to say that lots of people are pissed and want change and Hillary probably is not what they want, even though in credible polls she leads in enough states to win easily. “Hope” is neither a campaign strategy (oh, if you don’t believe me about that, just ask Mittens Romney how hoping he could win worked out for him) and “hope” is not really the substrate upon which to write an article. But then again, Luntz’s career is pretty much running on the fumes of hope these days.

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